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economy

Ian Bremmer: 3 Risks Poised to Disrupt a Fast-Changing World by 2021

Ian Bremmer Eurasia Group
March 29, 2016

The forces of technological change and geopolitical decentralization are set to transform the world over the next five years. Here are the three biggest risks to watch.

 

We spend a significant amount of time looking at the year ahead at Eurasia Group. But given how quickly the world is changing — especially when the absence of global leadership means considerably more geopolitical conflict — I thought it would be useful to look further out on the horizon.

Here are the top three risks I see coming down the pike for the coming five years:

 
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economy

Marco Annunziata: Through the Looking Glass

Marco Annunziata GE
March 27, 2016

How to cut through the global economic madness to assess real prospects for growth.

 

Looking at the global economy can feel like we have gone among the mad people:

  • Some interest rates are negative  —  you have to pay in order to lend.

  • Financial papers call for “helicopter money” in a Eurozone that is growing above potential.

  • Innovation is moving at its fastest pace but productivity at its slowest.
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trade

Amb. Michael Froman: If We Don’t Write the Rules of the Global Economy, Others Will

Amb Michael Froman U S Trade Representative
November 06, 2015

America is at a crossroads in the world economy. If we don’t take the lead in writing the economic rules of the road through trade agreements like the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), other countries will.

The United States economy continues to gain strength and create new jobs and opportunities for the American middle class, while acting as a driver of the global economy.
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Marco Annunziata: 3 Economic Forces Shaping 2015, Explained

Marco Annunziata GE
February 05, 2015

It’s barely February, but uncertainty has pervaded the global economy this year. Here’s what’s driving it, and what to expect next.

 

2015 has kicked off with an unusually high level of uncertainty (unavoidable) and a large dose of confusion (avoidable). The uncertainty is the product of three ongoing structural shifts:

  1. accelerating technological innovation, disrupting the competitive landscape for industries and countries;
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Scott Miller: WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement — Will the `Self-Help’ Program Succeed?

Scott Miller Center For Strategic And International Studies
January 05, 2015
We have just passed the one-year anniversary of the WTO’s ninth Ministerial Conference in Bali, where members decided to adopt the agreement on trade facilitation. After overcoming some mid-year theatrics in Geneva, the WTO’s General Council closed 2014 by adopting the Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA) protocol and opening it for acceptance by members. This marks the first fully multilateral agreement adopted by the WTO since its creation 20 years ago.
 
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Steve Melito: Manufacturing, Entrepreneurship and Economic Strength

Steve Melito Fuzehub
December 30, 2014
What’s the best way to measure the strength of a state’s economy?
 
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Francisco J. Sánchez: Synchronized Factories — The Key to Latin America’s Industrial Future

Francisco J Sanchez Cns Global Advisors
December 29, 2014
In 2005, Bombardier, the Canadian aerospace and transportation company, opened the doors of a factory in Querétaro, Mexico. At the time, the move seemed like a serious gamble. Though Mexico offered low wages compared to Canada, could it provide Bombardier with the environment required for such a highly technical manufacturing plant?
 

Almost 10 years later, it is clear that the gamble paid off. The factory has flourished and employs more than 1,800 workers. Bombardier continues to generate profits from its Mexico plants and is expanding there.
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Bruce Katz and Mark Muro: What States Need to Do to Grow Their Advanced Industries

Bruce Katz Brookings Institution
Mark Muro Brookings
December 22, 2014
Voters said unequivocally in this year’s midterm elections that economic growth and quality jobs are their top concerns. The divided federal government that resulted from those elections seems likely to take incremental but not transformative steps on critical economic issues. In other words, less gridlock but little impact.
 
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Charles McConnell: Energy Sustainability Through a Global Lens

Charles Mcconnell Rice University
December 17, 2014
Transformative technology continues to be the single largest enabler for a sustainable energy future in this world, and any number of studies also point to the fact that there is no more important contributor to the health and well-being of people than the supply of energy.
 

In future columns, I’d like to discuss in detail these technologies and how they are so important to a sustainable future. But what is energy sustainability, and how can it be viewed globally?
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Stacey Jarrett Wagner: Help Wanted — Ensuring the Success of Regional Collaborations

Stacey Jarrett Wagner The Jarrettwagner Group
December 04, 2014
At a recent conference near Washington, D.C., the sound of deflation was palpable. No, this was not a financial conference; it was focused on closing America’s skills gap.
 

Talk of these stubborn gaps often takes my breath away, because the country has worked so hard since the Great Recession to grow jobs and the economy. Conference hotels should provide oxygen tanks for meeting participants seeking to solve the skills gap problem.
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