The forces of technological change and geopolitical decentralization are set to transform the world over the next five years. Here are the three biggest risks to watch.
We spend a significant amount of time looking at the year ahead at Eurasia Group. But given how quickly the world is changing — especially when the absence of global leadership means considerably more geopolitical conflict — I thought it would be useful to look further out on the horizon.
Here are the top three risks I see coming down the pike for the coming five years:
How to cut through the global economic madness to assess real prospects for growth.
Looking at the global economy can feel like we have gone among the mad people:
- Some interest rates are negative — you have to pay in order to lend.
- Financial papers call for “helicopter money” in a Eurozone that is growing above potential.
- Innovation is moving at its fastest pace but productivity at its slowest.
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America is at a crossroads in the world economy. If we don’t take the lead in writing the economic rules of the road through trade agreements like the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), other countries will.
The United States economy continues to gain strength and create new jobs and opportunities for the American middle class, while acting as a driver of the global economy.It’s barely February, but uncertainty has pervaded the global economy this year. Here’s what’s driving it, and what to expect next.
2015 has kicked off with an unusually high level of uncertainty (unavoidable) and a large dose of confusion (avoidable). The uncertainty is the product of three ongoing structural shifts:
- accelerating technological innovation, disrupting the competitive landscape for industries and countries;
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Almost 10 years later, it is clear that the gamble paid off. The factory has flourished and employs more than 1,800 workers. Bombardier continues to generate profits from its Mexico plants and is expanding there.
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In future columns, I’d like to discuss in detail these technologies and how they are so important to a sustainable future. But what is energy sustainability, and how can it be viewed globally?
Talk of these stubborn gaps often takes my breath away, because the country has worked so hard since the Great Recession to grow jobs and the economy. Conference hotels should provide oxygen tanks for meeting participants seeking to solve the skills gap problem.